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Watt's the Time? Quarter Past

In a key overhaul of how electricity is bought and sold, European energy markets are fundamentally changing their pricing mechanism. This landmark reform introduces 15-minute trading blocks for the day-ahead auction, a significant departure from the traditional hourly contracts that have underpinned the system for years. This change, driven by the burgeoning dominance of wind and solar power, is essential for a grid grappling with their inherent unpredictability. 

As volatile renewable energy sources like wind and solar rapidly grow, they increasingly strain a grid built for consistent, predictable power. Generation can surge or plunge within minutes, leading to wild price swings and periods where the influx of green electricity can drive prices below zero. Starting today, the new quarter-hour introduced by exchanges like Epex Spot SE, allow traders to precisely reflect, and bet on, these rapid fluctuations in supply and demand. This higher resolution of data is critical because, as industry experts note, the 15-minute structure simply "fits better with how renewable power actually runs." 

This reform is being hailed as a paradigm shift for the energy transition. Major markets including Germany, the Nordic region, France, and the Benelux nations are adopting the change, though the UK is yet to follow suit. Early trading in Germany vividly demonstrated the new system's sensitivity, recording price swings of over €200 between specific 15-minute slots in the evening peak. 

Beyond the trading floors in hubs like Aarhus and Geneva, this move promises tangible benefits for consumers. By accurately pinpointing when and where renewable energy overwhelms the grid, an efficient market creates clearer signals. This could, for instance, incentivise households and businesses to use more power during cheap, green energy gluts. For the entire system, it means fossil-fuel plants get a more accurate instruction on when their back-up power is truly required, working to reduce overall emissions and, potentially, lower costs during a persistent cost-of-living crisis. Furthermore, the granular data will allow electricity to be moved across highly integrated national borders with much greater precision. 

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